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Plutorus + ufotable squad analysis/predictions part 1
#1
Squad predictions and analysis for season #whateverthisis. We were lazy so it's in chat form and it went a surprisingly long time so we had to take it to a Part 2 to come later. All controversial opinions are courtesy of Plut so please message him if you feel disrespected. Hope you enjoy:

 

 

    ufotable> ok

    ufotable> hmmm

    ufotable> is there a list of squads somewhere

    Plutorus> ok

    Plutorus> http://svssubspace.com/index.php?page=Rosters

    Plutorus> im gonna use that

    Plutorus> should be up to date for the active squads for the most part

    ufotable> Ok lets start with Assassins

    ufotable> Looks like much the same roster as last season minus 3 and Ozn

    Plutorus> and rage, but he's prob afk

    ufotable> oh good call

    ufotable> Rage Sai Nacre and Dev/Mop/Sika/Kdak will probably be fine from a teamwork standpoint

    ufotable> It's easier to be grouped and have teamwork when you're pushing the other team all over the map

    ufotable> as evidenced in the finals against FTN last season

    ufotable> even with the prac disparity

    ufotable> How do you think they'll do this season?

    Plutorus> three, ozn and bhang are all big losses, but as long as they have the nacre/saiyan pairing, they have the surrounding cast to take my #1 ranking

    ufotable> oh I forgot bhang went to EGO

    ufotable> did you actually do some prep for this and rank the squads? now I feel unprepared

    Plutorus> I think we're in a league where you really need 2 elites to win, and nacre/saiyan fits the bill for them. I think nacre is the best player overall too

    Plutorus> backarrow next?

    ufotable> not done yet!

    Plutorus> kk

    ufotable> I'd also pick them as #1

    ufotable> though I'm not sure who's active and who's not

    ufotable> Does Jae even play anymore? I haven't seen Sika in months

    Plutorus> yeah, activity is a big key for them

    ufotable> Actives could just be Nacre, Sai, Mop, Dev and.... Seven/Penguin?

    ufotable> If you count coming in and saying "U LIFF" to be activity

    Plutorus> huge, I'd agree

    ufotable> Worst case scenario

    ufotable> lets say only Nacre, Sai, Dev and a random 4th are active this season

    ufotable> are they still #1?

    Plutorus> yes

    Plutorus> unless that 4th is penguin every single game, or important games

    ufotable> lol

    ufotable> you know he can bench 1000000 lbs 40x

    ufotable> don't underestimate

    ufotable> they're #1 for me too, even in that worst case

    Plutorus> bebebebebebeb

    ufotable> ok, BackArrow?

    ufotable> you're up first

    Plutorus> ok, backarrow has lost a few key members lately, in savage and fedu

    ufotable> That's right - I did see Sav hanging out with Llamas

    ufotable> actually, he played against us this past week Sad

    ufotable> Fedu is so solid in all aspects and makes the right play more often than not

    ufotable> big loss I agree

    Plutorus> not only loss from talent standpoint, which it is, but activity as well; savage and fedu are both active

    ufotable> Doesn't Sav kinda go in and out from an  activity standpoint?

    Plutorus> backarrow needs to recruit some people fast...or they are heavily reliant on a small core to show up every week

    ufotable> BackArrow is definitely one of the more active practicing squads

    ufotable> I see Tuna, Candy, Sabre, Plare, Arc, Jones, and Hook almost daily

    ufotable> 7 solid actives I think is more than most squads can say - not sure I agree on the aggressive need to recruit

    Plutorus> hmm, I havent seen Jones much.

    ufotable> maybe not so much lately hmm

    ufotable> so 6 actives

    Plutorus> sabre and plare seem iffy to me, although both are solid. Hook is probably a bit too tentative to hang with a faster paced game right now

    Plutorus> I see sabre and plare seldom, although they seem more active this week, agreed

    ufotable> I think you touch on an important point

    ufotable> The pace on those players vary wildly

    Plutorus> yea

    ufotable> Sabre does lag behind, not necessarily in terms of talent but in preferred pace

    ufotable> Their potential top 4 of Tuna/Arc/Plare/Sabre (or Candy) varies so much in speed

    Plutorus> its really true, I can see them having pacing issues

    ufotable> and that probably doesn't hurt them against lower level opponents, but starting with Llama level its a problem

    ufotable> That being said, significant veteran moxy on this squad

    Plutorus> one worry I have with a particular key vet is Arctos - he looks bored to me

    Plutorus> his top game is great, but does he care enough anymore?

    ufotable> Good observation - he's not nearly as strong as I remember

    ufotable> not even close

    ufotable> I think that question is the key to their season, how much does he want it?

    Plutorus> yeah agreed

    Plutorus> he can help tuna carry if he's 100%

    ufotable> I think they're only going to go as far as Tuna and Arc take them

    ufotable> Both in their primes - this is a fearsome squad

    Plutorus> definitely

    Plutorus> ok, beastfu?

    ufotable> the other thing I like about BA, no one dies for free

    ufotable> they force you to beat them

    ufotable> (or the bot to beat them)

    ufotable> ok Beastfu Smile

    ufotable> Speaking to GT, these are a lot of RL friends of his from LoL

    ufotable> with a couple of old faces like Unoid

    ufotable> what are your thoughts?

    Plutorus> I love that gold teeth started up a new squad for newer leaguers, but I worry they won't survive much longer.

    ufotable> I know they no showed this past Sunday

    ufotable> was it daylight savings or something else?

    Plutorus> I think it was

    ufotable> The roster is only 7 people so it's vital that everyone is active

    ufotable> SS CRIPS showed us it can be done Smile

    Plutorus> Bukkwild!!!

    ufotable> yes!

    ufotable> ok

    ufotable> quick aside

    ufotable> can you name one other guy on CRIPS?

    Plutorus> chronic and macksksksks

    ufotable> damn

    Plutorus> $

    ufotable> I couldn't come up with anyone Smile nice call

    ufotable> ok back to beastfu

    ufotable> I love that they're a new squad as well and the learning curve is going to be steeper this season for the new guys

    ufotable> .*steep

    ufotable> hope they stick around all season

    ufotable> and don't get too discouraged by the losing

    ufotable> because the losses are coming Sad

    Plutorus> yeah, they are going to struggle winning a single game

    ufotable> I've seen Rhino practicing a lot

    ufotable> he can play and has potential

    ufotable> Comb has played in league, GT has been around for ~15 years

    ufotable> Unoid has been around

    Plutorus> and then?

    ufotable> cann is a pubber right?

    ufotable> and I think I've seen spinning in pub?

    Plutorus> not sure, only recently saw him enter the scene. he's eager (which goes a long way) but will struggle to last for 10+ minutes I think

    Plutorus> gold teeth to be active, and they need to recruit more pilots now, today, tomorrow, immediately to pull this off. fill the roster

    ufotable> I think I played a late night 2v2 with cann against Tom Petty and another pubber

    ufotable> he has an offensive game, but survivability is an issue

    ufotable> I agree

    ufotable> we'll leave it off with that, they need 2 more active pilots

    Plutorus> yea

    Plutorus> btw, credit to gold teeth

    ufotable> yes

    ufotable> all credit to GT

    Plutorus> league needed a squad like this, and he did it

    ufotable> If even one of those new guys sticks

    ufotable> he'll have done more for the game than most

    Plutorus> yes

    ufotable> Critical Mass

    ufotable> You're up first as an ex-CM member

    Plutorus> Haha, great squad with Three and Ozn leading the way. I really enjoyed flying with them, and I've got them ranked as my #2 team overall

    ufotable> Whoa

    ufotable> ahead of OUTLAWS (rebranded FTN)?

    Plutorus> yep

    ufotable> wow lets explore that for a second

    ufotable> head to head, why do you think CM is better?

    Plutorus> I'm not sure how active Kingnewbie is anymore

    Plutorus> that would change the equation, but I havent seen him around

    ufotable> He suffered an injury a couple months ago right?

    Plutorus> yeah, he's recovering from an accident.

    ufotable> That could be tough you're right

    ufotable> If KN isn't active, I'd give the edge to CM as well

    Plutorus> CM is going to be aggressive

    Plutorus> I think three washes with bike

    Plutorus> both in my top 5 players, btw

    ufotable> I'd take 3 over bike because he plays a more important function within his team

    ufotable> hard to find a true #1 pilot that will create and force the action

    ufotable> .*harder

    ufotable> vs. an elite elite finisher and support pilot

    Plutorus> three definitely will force the action, yea

    ufotable> Since you've been a slut and have been on both squads

    Plutorus> they are both special players

    ufotable> I won't press you on that =P

    ufotable> you can be all middle of the road

    Plutorus> haha no its ok

    ufotable> Top 4 for CM? Smile

    Plutorus> I rate them about equally tbh, I think bike can force the action if needed

    Plutorus> I think in his mind tactically, he doesnt feel the need to. But I've seem him take over games when necessary

    ufotable> TVB's positioning is so strong as well, he's ALWAYS in the right place to make the play

    ufotable> and he doesn't miss on chances

    Plutorus> Top 4 for CM....three, ozn, antihuman and 7th/coarse/devious

    ufotable> I agree, I would take 3, Ozn, 7th, and Antihuman

    Plutorus> Jack is a favorite, I think he's a season or two removed from being a really big player

    Plutorus> if he sticks around

    ufotable> I haven't seen him in a couple months unfortunately

    ufotable> He was #1 in TW right?

    Plutorus> yea

    Plutorus> he was around last month

    Plutorus> alot

    ufotable> hope he sticks and keeps practicing hard

    ufotable> tremendous talent I agree

    Plutorus> but last seen more than 10 days ago

    Plutorus> maybe aliased

    ufotable> I don't trust coarse or Devious in big games

    ufotable> the talent is clearly there, but both have styles that don't feel solid to me

    ufotable> especially in a give and take championship type game where each death matters

    ufotable> I know you're friends with both so no comment is fine by you Smile

    Plutorus> im looking at outlaws roster

    Plutorus> I might change my rankings by the end of this log lol

    Plutorus> if KN is around, I'd clearly rank them higher

    ufotable> We'll get another chance to discuss that when we hit OUTLAWS

    ufotable> I'm also nervous if 3 tries to do too much

    ufotable> years ago when he used to bang his head against Assassins/Intrepid season after season (mad respect for that)

    ufotable> he received an unfair label of a choker because as talented as he is, he felt a need to make everything happen

    ufotable> If he takes early deaths in a playoff game, CM could be in trouble

    Plutorus> yes

    Plutorus> three is definitely key for CM

    ufotable> everyone else is repleacable for me other than 3

    ufotable> ready to move on?>

    Plutorus> ok, discombobulate next!

    Plutorus> hardest team to .roster?

    Plutorus> I can never spell it

    ufotable> Clearly the .roster difficulty champs

    ufotable> Solar has taken to calling them Disco Queens

    Plutorus> I like disco boobs even better!

    ufotable> oooh good call

    ufotable> Ok so

    ufotable> Who is Mclaren?

    Plutorus> good question. Not sure, but he's solid

    ufotable> dude can play

    ufotable> but he needs to stay out of lanc

    Plutorus> in our preseason game vs disco last sunday, they did a great job of using lanc and luring us to boxes

    Plutorus> my team is a little too new to 4v4 to really understand how bad of an idea that was

    ufotable> you mean bombs that bounce twice

    ufotable> in enclosed spaces?

    Plutorus> but time and again, they would trick us into heading down there

    ufotable> ya that's a recipe for trouble

    ufotable> Top 4?

    Plutorus> mindriot is playing fantastic lately

    ufotable> and how do you see them doing this season?

    Plutorus> mindriot, mclaren, rickdog and HMMM

    Plutorus> not sure who allelujah is

    Plutorus> I think they will do well, rickdog is really improving

    Plutorus> wahini is clearly the key

    Plutorus> you?

    ufotable> Wahini is old school Smile

    ufotable> I'd take MR, Mclaren, Pog, and Rick/Acid

    ufotable> I agree, Mindriot has shown dimensions lately, especially in a spider, that I didn't expect

    ufotable> he's absolutely key for his team

    ufotable> When pushing or in a fairly even game, I think they're fine

    ufotable> but no one on that roster is a strong team player to me and I worry for them in a game against an aggressive opponent

    Plutorus> I think they have a shot against teams like backarrow and ego

    ufotable> Hmmmm

    ufotable> how much of a shot

    Plutorus> providing mindriot continues to play at this level

    ufotable> I would give them a puncher's chance

    Plutorus> yeah, thats probably accurate

    Plutorus> agreed

    ufotable> by the way, am I crazy to think that BackArrow reminds me of Jon Fitch

    Plutorus> Jon Fitch! One of my fav mma fighters

    ufotable> mine too Smile

    Plutorus> I think he's the only MMA fighter I follow on twitter

    ufotable> lol

    Plutorus> and I LOVE that comparison

    Plutorus> backarrow tries to wear you down

    Plutorus> and win a decision

    ufotable> yup

    ufotable> they don't beat themselves, and keep grinding and grinding

    ufotable> reminds of every Fitch match in existence

    ufotable> ok back to Disco

    ufotable> where do you see them finishing this season?

    Plutorus> I see them battling it out with backarrow, ego, dropships, sfe

    ufotable> They beat SFE convincingly in preseason round 1

    Plutorus> you started Mfa :p but we'll get to that later

    ufotable> MR lured us into what felt like 30 bad spots

    Plutorus> they outmanaged us too last sunday, so maybe thats a strength for them. smart play

    ufotable> I see them finishing below BA and EGO, neck and neck with Dropships

    ufotable> ready to move on?

    Plutorus> ya, dropships next. All you Smile

    ufotable> After Dropships I need to get back to work and we'll take this to a part 2 later

    Plutorus> k

    ufotable> ok Dropships

    ufotable> interesting mix of Port Llast from last season

    ufotable> and Alpha Reunion

    ufotable> 4 captains on a squad with 10 people could be too much cooks in the kitchen

    ufotable> Who is really the captain

    ufotable> .*many not much

    Plutorus> sven/nude

    ufotable> I thought you were keeping out of this!

    Plutorus> im not sure why I have captain lol

    Plutorus> oops!

    ufotable> lol

    ufotable> Top 4 for me: Plut, Sven, Harm, suicidal dentist

    ufotable> with Pryde as key sub

    ufotable> any subs after that are going to have glaring holes in their game or in their experience

    ufotable> and I'm not sure how active sui is

    ufotable> he was always on and off for NW

    ufotable> and I haven't seen him in a week or two

    ufotable> With their top 5, I'd pick them to finish above Disco boobs

    ufotable> but that is probably the most compelling matchup of the season

    ufotable> (other than the 3 championship contenders of course)

    ufotable> rep, Hall, light all have strong potential

    ufotable> Light is an all arounder who needs more reps and dueling practice to sharpen up his game and ship control

    ufotable> Rep has good aim and control, but he and Hall both suffer from sometimes playing like they're in a duelbox or 2v2 box

    ufotable> and it's not the same game in 4v4

    ufotable> I think Sven is going to explode this season

    ufotable> the talent is there, he's driven as hell, and the improvement over the last 3 months has been exponential

    Plutorus> he just exploded reading that line

    ufotable> Sad

    Plutorus> oops! hi sven

    ufotable> Not sure who Harm is, but I know he's there in pracs I play against his team

    ufotable> he's a factor

    ufotable> Plut is above average in every aspects and a brilliant team player - not many pilots I'd want either on LL or playing in a key game. He's going to make the right decision and be in the right place

    ufotable> If the top pilots gel correctly and guys (SVEN) make the leap, I see them finishing above Disco and competing with BA and EGO.

    ufotable> last thoughts plut before we close this log and take it to a part 2?

    Plutorus> nope, great stuff. Later tonight?

    ufotable> not sure, we'll figure it out

 

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#2
ufotable> Pryde: best hair in league.

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#3
Clearly an oversight on my part. If I'd let Plut speak he certainly would have addressed that most salient of points.

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#4
"later tonight"

 

pffft

One of the three most dangerous people in Subspace.
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