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Plutorus + ufotable squad analysis/predictions part 1 |
Posted by: ufotable - 03-12-2014, 07:24 PM - Forum: Pro League Discussion
- Replies (3)
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Squad predictions and analysis for season #whateverthisis. We were lazy so it's in chat form and it went a surprisingly long time so we had to take it to a Part 2 to come later. All controversial opinions are courtesy of Plut so please message him if you feel disrespected. Hope you enjoy:
ufotable> ok
ufotable> hmmm
ufotable> is there a list of squads somewhere
Plutorus> ok
Plutorus> http://svssubspace.com/index.php?page=Rosters
Plutorus> im gonna use that
Plutorus> should be up to date for the active squads for the most part
ufotable> Ok lets start with Assassins
ufotable> Looks like much the same roster as last season minus 3 and Ozn
Plutorus> and rage, but he's prob afk
ufotable> oh good call
ufotable> Rage Sai Nacre and Dev/Mop/Sika/Kdak will probably be fine from a teamwork standpoint
ufotable> It's easier to be grouped and have teamwork when you're pushing the other team all over the map
ufotable> as evidenced in the finals against FTN last season
ufotable> even with the prac disparity
ufotable> How do you think they'll do this season?
Plutorus> three, ozn and bhang are all big losses, but as long as they have the nacre/saiyan pairing, they have the surrounding cast to take my #1 ranking
ufotable> oh I forgot bhang went to EGO
ufotable> did you actually do some prep for this and rank the squads? now I feel unprepared
Plutorus> I think we're in a league where you really need 2 elites to win, and nacre/saiyan fits the bill for them. I think nacre is the best player overall too
Plutorus> backarrow next?
ufotable> not done yet!
Plutorus> kk
ufotable> I'd also pick them as #1
ufotable> though I'm not sure who's active and who's not
ufotable> Does Jae even play anymore? I haven't seen Sika in months
Plutorus> yeah, activity is a big key for them
ufotable> Actives could just be Nacre, Sai, Mop, Dev and.... Seven/Penguin?
ufotable> If you count coming in and saying "U LIFF" to be activity
Plutorus> huge, I'd agree
ufotable> Worst case scenario
ufotable> lets say only Nacre, Sai, Dev and a random 4th are active this season
ufotable> are they still #1?
Plutorus> yes
Plutorus> unless that 4th is penguin every single game, or important games
ufotable> lol
ufotable> you know he can bench 1000000 lbs 40x
ufotable> don't underestimate
ufotable> they're #1 for me too, even in that worst case
Plutorus> bebebebebebeb
ufotable> ok, BackArrow?
ufotable> you're up first
Plutorus> ok, backarrow has lost a few key members lately, in savage and fedu
ufotable> That's right - I did see Sav hanging out with Llamas
ufotable> actually, he played against us this past week
ufotable> Fedu is so solid in all aspects and makes the right play more often than not
ufotable> big loss I agree
Plutorus> not only loss from talent standpoint, which it is, but activity as well; savage and fedu are both active
ufotable> Doesn't Sav kinda go in and out from an activity standpoint?
Plutorus> backarrow needs to recruit some people fast...or they are heavily reliant on a small core to show up every week
ufotable> BackArrow is definitely one of the more active practicing squads
ufotable> I see Tuna, Candy, Sabre, Plare, Arc, Jones, and Hook almost daily
ufotable> 7 solid actives I think is more than most squads can say - not sure I agree on the aggressive need to recruit
Plutorus> hmm, I havent seen Jones much.
ufotable> maybe not so much lately hmm
ufotable> so 6 actives
Plutorus> sabre and plare seem iffy to me, although both are solid. Hook is probably a bit too tentative to hang with a faster paced game right now
Plutorus> I see sabre and plare seldom, although they seem more active this week, agreed
ufotable> I think you touch on an important point
ufotable> The pace on those players vary wildly
Plutorus> yea
ufotable> Sabre does lag behind, not necessarily in terms of talent but in preferred pace
ufotable> Their potential top 4 of Tuna/Arc/Plare/Sabre (or Candy) varies so much in speed
Plutorus> its really true, I can see them having pacing issues
ufotable> and that probably doesn't hurt them against lower level opponents, but starting with Llama level its a problem
ufotable> That being said, significant veteran moxy on this squad
Plutorus> one worry I have with a particular key vet is Arctos - he looks bored to me
Plutorus> his top game is great, but does he care enough anymore?
ufotable> Good observation - he's not nearly as strong as I remember
ufotable> not even close
ufotable> I think that question is the key to their season, how much does he want it?
Plutorus> yeah agreed
Plutorus> he can help tuna carry if he's 100%
ufotable> I think they're only going to go as far as Tuna and Arc take them
ufotable> Both in their primes - this is a fearsome squad
Plutorus> definitely
Plutorus> ok, beastfu?
ufotable> the other thing I like about BA, no one dies for free
ufotable> they force you to beat them
ufotable> (or the bot to beat them)
ufotable> ok Beastfu
ufotable> Speaking to GT, these are a lot of RL friends of his from LoL
ufotable> with a couple of old faces like Unoid
ufotable> what are your thoughts?
Plutorus> I love that gold teeth started up a new squad for newer leaguers, but I worry they won't survive much longer.
ufotable> I know they no showed this past Sunday
ufotable> was it daylight savings or something else?
Plutorus> I think it was
ufotable> The roster is only 7 people so it's vital that everyone is active
ufotable> SS CRIPS showed us it can be done
Plutorus> Bukkwild!!!
ufotable> yes!
ufotable> ok
ufotable> quick aside
ufotable> can you name one other guy on CRIPS?
Plutorus> chronic and macksksksks
ufotable> damn
Plutorus> $
ufotable> I couldn't come up with anyone nice call
ufotable> ok back to beastfu
ufotable> I love that they're a new squad as well and the learning curve is going to be steeper this season for the new guys
ufotable> .*steep
ufotable> hope they stick around all season
ufotable> and don't get too discouraged by the losing
ufotable> because the losses are coming
Plutorus> yeah, they are going to struggle winning a single game
ufotable> I've seen Rhino practicing a lot
ufotable> he can play and has potential
ufotable> Comb has played in league, GT has been around for ~15 years
ufotable> Unoid has been around
Plutorus> and then?
ufotable> cann is a pubber right?
ufotable> and I think I've seen spinning in pub?
Plutorus> not sure, only recently saw him enter the scene. he's eager (which goes a long way) but will struggle to last for 10+ minutes I think
Plutorus> gold teeth to be active, and they need to recruit more pilots now, today, tomorrow, immediately to pull this off. fill the roster
ufotable> I think I played a late night 2v2 with cann against Tom Petty and another pubber
ufotable> he has an offensive game, but survivability is an issue
ufotable> I agree
ufotable> we'll leave it off with that, they need 2 more active pilots
Plutorus> yea
Plutorus> btw, credit to gold teeth
ufotable> yes
ufotable> all credit to GT
Plutorus> league needed a squad like this, and he did it
ufotable> If even one of those new guys sticks
ufotable> he'll have done more for the game than most
Plutorus> yes
ufotable> Critical Mass
ufotable> You're up first as an ex-CM member
Plutorus> Haha, great squad with Three and Ozn leading the way. I really enjoyed flying with them, and I've got them ranked as my #2 team overall
ufotable> Whoa
ufotable> ahead of OUTLAWS (rebranded FTN)?
Plutorus> yep
ufotable> wow lets explore that for a second
ufotable> head to head, why do you think CM is better?
Plutorus> I'm not sure how active Kingnewbie is anymore
Plutorus> that would change the equation, but I havent seen him around
ufotable> He suffered an injury a couple months ago right?
Plutorus> yeah, he's recovering from an accident.
ufotable> That could be tough you're right
ufotable> If KN isn't active, I'd give the edge to CM as well
Plutorus> CM is going to be aggressive
Plutorus> I think three washes with bike
Plutorus> both in my top 5 players, btw
ufotable> I'd take 3 over bike because he plays a more important function within his team
ufotable> hard to find a true #1 pilot that will create and force the action
ufotable> .*harder
ufotable> vs. an elite elite finisher and support pilot
Plutorus> three definitely will force the action, yea
ufotable> Since you've been a slut and have been on both squads
Plutorus> they are both special players
ufotable> I won't press you on that =P
ufotable> you can be all middle of the road
Plutorus> haha no its ok
ufotable> Top 4 for CM?
Plutorus> I rate them about equally tbh, I think bike can force the action if needed
Plutorus> I think in his mind tactically, he doesnt feel the need to. But I've seem him take over games when necessary
ufotable> TVB's positioning is so strong as well, he's ALWAYS in the right place to make the play
ufotable> and he doesn't miss on chances
Plutorus> Top 4 for CM....three, ozn, antihuman and 7th/coarse/devious
ufotable> I agree, I would take 3, Ozn, 7th, and Antihuman
Plutorus> Jack is a favorite, I think he's a season or two removed from being a really big player
Plutorus> if he sticks around
ufotable> I haven't seen him in a couple months unfortunately
ufotable> He was #1 in TW right?
Plutorus> yea
Plutorus> he was around last month
Plutorus> alot
ufotable> hope he sticks and keeps practicing hard
ufotable> tremendous talent I agree
Plutorus> but last seen more than 10 days ago
Plutorus> maybe aliased
ufotable> I don't trust coarse or Devious in big games
ufotable> the talent is clearly there, but both have styles that don't feel solid to me
ufotable> especially in a give and take championship type game where each death matters
ufotable> I know you're friends with both so no comment is fine by you
Plutorus> im looking at outlaws roster
Plutorus> I might change my rankings by the end of this log lol
Plutorus> if KN is around, I'd clearly rank them higher
ufotable> We'll get another chance to discuss that when we hit OUTLAWS
ufotable> I'm also nervous if 3 tries to do too much
ufotable> years ago when he used to bang his head against Assassins/Intrepid season after season (mad respect for that)
ufotable> he received an unfair label of a choker because as talented as he is, he felt a need to make everything happen
ufotable> If he takes early deaths in a playoff game, CM could be in trouble
Plutorus> yes
Plutorus> three is definitely key for CM
ufotable> everyone else is repleacable for me other than 3
ufotable> ready to move on?>
Plutorus> ok, discombobulate next!
Plutorus> hardest team to .roster?
Plutorus> I can never spell it
ufotable> Clearly the .roster difficulty champs
ufotable> Solar has taken to calling them Disco Queens
Plutorus> I like disco boobs even better!
ufotable> oooh good call
ufotable> Ok so
ufotable> Who is Mclaren?
Plutorus> good question. Not sure, but he's solid
ufotable> dude can play
ufotable> but he needs to stay out of lanc
Plutorus> in our preseason game vs disco last sunday, they did a great job of using lanc and luring us to boxes
Plutorus> my team is a little too new to 4v4 to really understand how bad of an idea that was
ufotable> you mean bombs that bounce twice
ufotable> in enclosed spaces?
Plutorus> but time and again, they would trick us into heading down there
ufotable> ya that's a recipe for trouble
ufotable> Top 4?
Plutorus> mindriot is playing fantastic lately
ufotable> and how do you see them doing this season?
Plutorus> mindriot, mclaren, rickdog and HMMM
Plutorus> not sure who allelujah is
Plutorus> I think they will do well, rickdog is really improving
Plutorus> wahini is clearly the key
Plutorus> you?
ufotable> Wahini is old school
ufotable> I'd take MR, Mclaren, Pog, and Rick/Acid
ufotable> I agree, Mindriot has shown dimensions lately, especially in a spider, that I didn't expect
ufotable> he's absolutely key for his team
ufotable> When pushing or in a fairly even game, I think they're fine
ufotable> but no one on that roster is a strong team player to me and I worry for them in a game against an aggressive opponent
Plutorus> I think they have a shot against teams like backarrow and ego
ufotable> Hmmmm
ufotable> how much of a shot
Plutorus> providing mindriot continues to play at this level
ufotable> I would give them a puncher's chance
Plutorus> yeah, thats probably accurate
Plutorus> agreed
ufotable> by the way, am I crazy to think that BackArrow reminds me of Jon Fitch
Plutorus> Jon Fitch! One of my fav mma fighters
ufotable> mine too
Plutorus> I think he's the only MMA fighter I follow on twitter
ufotable> lol
Plutorus> and I LOVE that comparison
Plutorus> backarrow tries to wear you down
Plutorus> and win a decision
ufotable> yup
ufotable> they don't beat themselves, and keep grinding and grinding
ufotable> reminds of every Fitch match in existence
ufotable> ok back to Disco
ufotable> where do you see them finishing this season?
Plutorus> I see them battling it out with backarrow, ego, dropships, sfe
ufotable> They beat SFE convincingly in preseason round 1
Plutorus> you started Mfa :p but we'll get to that later
ufotable> MR lured us into what felt like 30 bad spots
Plutorus> they outmanaged us too last sunday, so maybe thats a strength for them. smart play
ufotable> I see them finishing below BA and EGO, neck and neck with Dropships
ufotable> ready to move on?
Plutorus> ya, dropships next. All you
ufotable> After Dropships I need to get back to work and we'll take this to a part 2 later
Plutorus> k
ufotable> ok Dropships
ufotable> interesting mix of Port Llast from last season
ufotable> and Alpha Reunion
ufotable> 4 captains on a squad with 10 people could be too much cooks in the kitchen
ufotable> Who is really the captain
ufotable> .*many not much
Plutorus> sven/nude
ufotable> I thought you were keeping out of this!
Plutorus> im not sure why I have captain lol
Plutorus> oops!
ufotable> lol
ufotable> Top 4 for me: Plut, Sven, Harm, suicidal dentist
ufotable> with Pryde as key sub
ufotable> any subs after that are going to have glaring holes in their game or in their experience
ufotable> and I'm not sure how active sui is
ufotable> he was always on and off for NW
ufotable> and I haven't seen him in a week or two
ufotable> With their top 5, I'd pick them to finish above Disco boobs
ufotable> but that is probably the most compelling matchup of the season
ufotable> (other than the 3 championship contenders of course)
ufotable> rep, Hall, light all have strong potential
ufotable> Light is an all arounder who needs more reps and dueling practice to sharpen up his game and ship control
ufotable> Rep has good aim and control, but he and Hall both suffer from sometimes playing like they're in a duelbox or 2v2 box
ufotable> and it's not the same game in 4v4
ufotable> I think Sven is going to explode this season
ufotable> the talent is there, he's driven as hell, and the improvement over the last 3 months has been exponential
Plutorus> he just exploded reading that line
ufotable>
Plutorus> oops! hi sven
ufotable> Not sure who Harm is, but I know he's there in pracs I play against his team
ufotable> he's a factor
ufotable> Plut is above average in every aspects and a brilliant team player - not many pilots I'd want either on LL or playing in a key game. He's going to make the right decision and be in the right place
ufotable> If the top pilots gel correctly and guys (SVEN) make the leap, I see them finishing above Disco and competing with BA and EGO.
ufotable> last thoughts plut before we close this log and take it to a part 2?
Plutorus> nope, great stuff. Later tonight?
ufotable> not sure, we'll figure it out
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Squad Evaluations - Season 23238977432349834 |
Posted by: Ozn - 03-07-2014, 03:40 PM - Forum: Pro League Discussion
- Replies (7)
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Since the only squad evaluation posted for this season was by a troll I figured I would post one. Hopefully this will spark other's interest to do the same. (Post for real, not troll)
Alphabetically:
Assassins
Looks like Assassins will be joining in this season after all. There is still a question of activity vs inactivity but they should still be able to field a solid 4. I suspect we will see mediocre interest in regular season and more interest/activity as the season nears playoffs. Dev and saiyan are the most active players but showing on Sundays is more important than regular week activity. Look for Nacre, Mop and kdak to show for some random sundays and help bring wins in. Sika seems to have disappeared so jury is still out on him.
Ideal Lineup: develop, saiyan, nacre and Mop
Full Sub: Kdak for whoever
Backarrow
Returning for a second season is a team captained by Arctos and mis-managed by Candyman. Backarrow has a commendable amount of activity, with Pracplane in full effect and euro pracs taking place on the daily. This team has some good individual players but relies heavily on Tunahead being on his A-game and Candyman staying in spec. I suspect this team will do pretty decent in playoffs - with some possible upsets. However, this all hinges on Arctos calling the shots and Candyman keeping his trap shut.
Ideal Lineup: Arctos, Tunahead, Plarep, Sabrewolf
Full Sub: Savage for Sabrewolf
beastfu
Teams like this spawn up every season, with sometimes good results....but not in the realm of winning. Usually they lose the first 3-4 matches they play then no-show. However, every once in a while a new guy is recruited to a team like this and becomes active in league...gets pretty good then transitions to a more stable team. That's the only hope I have for this team.
Ideal Lineup: Any
Full Sub: Any
discombobulate
Newly formed team for this season. I think they can do pretty well. Roster needs a little cleaning of dead weight though (wahini, frowzy). I don't know who McLaren is but he's doing pretty decent lately. RICKDAWGGGGG has had pretty exponential skill growth as well - that's been cool to see. Overall I think that if this team can level out and learn to play well together they can upset some people.
Ideal Lineup: Mindriot, McLaren, Joe Jr, Acidfreak
Full Sub: Pog maybe?
Dropships
Another newly formed team for this season which has bits of Port Llast and Alpha Reunion. The activity is questionable though, some of these guys come on for short stretches of time then disappear. I see this team battling discombobulate in a decent match. Their squad practices have gone ok, with mixed results. They will need a bit more offense though, Mighty Sven habitually backlobbing puts a wrench in any team's momentum.
Ideal Lineup: Plutorus, Harmchief, Mighty Sven, Pryde
Full Sub: replika maybe?
Ego
Jury is still out on Ego. bhang wasn't able to show up and they got crushed by Backarrow in the pre-season opener. They're definitely in need of recruits and could be deadly if they picked up one or two solid guys. If they can get more people they will be competing with Llamas for a semi-finals spot.
Ideal Lineup: bhang, pseudo, fedu and captor
Full Sub: Whoever
Llamas
This squad has always been a favorite of mine. I think it's because on any given Sunday they can upsets a good team. The only thing they're missing is one or two upper echelon players. Don't get me wrong, they have a lot of good players but they're all at about the same level. They're in need of a current player or a new player who can create opportunities and openings without flying out of control. I believe they're counting on this person to be Ghostbuster but he's either super rusty or lost his spark.
Ideal Lineup: Ghostbuster17, Nine, Psyanide, twista
Full Sub: Dagger, PP or CFK
Outlaws
So this is FTNguyen renamed but with a hint of stackage. With the addition of chrono and enforcer it's become clear that these guys didn't like losing last season. I think everyone knows the story here: Caer and Crescendo should stay in spec, Legacy tilts after early deaths, etc etc. Look for this team to be in the finals or knocked out in a close semi-final match. Oh yeah, and chrono is double-squadding.
Ideal Lineup: Village, King, chrono, legacy
Full Sub: eric clapton for legacy after first early death
StarFire Elite
I think we all know this story.
Ideal Lineup: Shikaa, Something Dutch, unfotable, mfa
Full Sub: scubie
The Dark
This team returns but took a page from Outlaws' book and added 9-volt to bring on the stackage. 3 guys from the Flawless starting lineup and 4 guys from The Dark starting lineup. GG. We shall see if they all remain active but this is another team that could get eliminated in the semi-finals or make it to finals. Oh yeah, and trouser ferret (chrono) is double-squadding.
Ideal Lineup: Da Douche, Blink, benji, trouser ferret
Full Sub: Jocker or Nadai
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NEW PLAYOFFS IDEA |
Posted by: Captor - 03-07-2014, 10:39 AM - Forum: Pro League Discussion
- Replies (1)
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IDEA / suggestion for upcoming playoffs TOP #8 TEAMS:
(3 weeks of playoffs, 2 games/ sunday) 6 games /team -
#1 regular season team comes to playoffs with biggest point (say 32?)
#2 comes to playoffs with 24 points
#3 ....
#8 ... comes to playoffs with lowest points, but gets to choose their opponent first.
"Teams challenge themselve - Lower ranked team get to challenge and pick a opponent from themselves. Both teams points are put to play and winner gets half from the sum, which adds to their team points for the next round."
When 3 weeks have been played, we check which 2 teams have highest points and those teams play for the CHAMPIONSHIP.
Allow max of 2 times / teams to face on playoffs .If a #8 picks #1 2 times, and wins both, they raise on playoffs rankings VERY BIG!
Best of 3 FINALS,
The idea of this is to get as much playing to everysquad as possible, until the end. Maybe let those 3-8 ranked play for the 3-4 5-6 and 7-8 places out, based on final points (#3 vs #4 team with points, #4 vs #5...)
good/bad? This system would need to check good before implementing to league. iex. starting points of playoffs team based on # ranking.
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Pre-season games. Part deux. |
Posted by: Caerbannog - 03-05-2014, 03:10 PM - Forum: Pro League Discussion
- Replies (7)
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<div>Dropships = Flying Doctors, NFS has captain on dropships so he can move players over.</div>
<div>The 4v4 council thingy seems to be somewhat alive and discussing season format. Also council rule changes.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>3pm:</div>
<div>Port Llast vs. Beastfu -- 127263</div>
<div>Discombobulate vs. Dropships -- 127264</div>
<div>Backarrow vs. Critical Mass -- 127265</div>
<div> </div>
<div>4pm:</div>
<div>The Dark vs. EGO -- 127266</div>
<div>Outlaws vs. Assassins -- 127267</div>
<div>StarFire Elite vs. Llamas -- 127268</div>
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hello! |
Posted by: Capt ARGH! - 03-04-2014, 09:14 PM - Forum: Chaos Discussion
- Replies (7)
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hi everyone. didn't even realize this forum was even running... haven't checked back in so long.
i come in to chaos now and again
just came back to say hi.
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